PROCX: Probabilities C

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PROCX Probabilities C


Profile

PROCX - Profile

Vitals

  • YTD Return -28.3%
  • 3 Yr Annualized Return -8.3%
  • 5 Yr Annualized Return -4.7%
  • Net Assets $63.6 M
  • Holdings in Top 10 59.8%

52 WEEK LOW AND HIGH

$8.21
$8.09
$12.04

Expenses

OPERATING RELATED FEES

  • Expense Ratio 2.95%

SALES FEES

  • Front Load N/A
  • Deferred Load N/A

BROKERAGE FEES

  • Turnover N/A

TRADING FEES

  • Max Redemption Fee N/A

Min Investment

  • Standard (Taxable) $2,500
  • IRA N/A

Fund Classification


Distributions

  • YTD Total Return -29.3%
  • 3 Yr Annualized Total Return -8.7%
  • 5 Yr Annualized Total Return -5.0%
  • Capital Gain Distribution Frequency Annually
  • Net Income Ratio -1.11%
DIVIDENDS
  • Dividend Yield 0.0%
  • Dividend Distribution Frequency Annually

Fund Details

  • Legal Name
    Probabilities Fund
  • Fund Family Name
    Probabilities Fund
  • Inception Date
    Jan 16, 2014
  • Shares Outstanding
    N/A
  • Share Class
    C
  • Currency
    USD
  • Domiciled Country
    United States
  • Manager
    Joseph Childrey

Fund Description

The fund utilizes a ''fund of funds'' structure to invest primarily in exchange-traded funds ("ETFs''), including inverse ETFs and leveraged ETFs. ETFs that seek to track the performance of broad-based U.S. equity indices, principally the Standard & Poor's 500 ("S&P 500") as well as mid-cap, small-cap and total market indexes are referred to as "index ETFs". It may also invest in ETFs that employ leverage in an effort to deliver, on a daily basis, up to three times the performance of the S&P 500 or ETFs which seek returns which are the inverse of a U.S. equity index, ("inverse index ETFs").


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Categories

Performance

PROCX - Performance

Return Ranking - Trailing

Period PROCX Return Category Return Low Category Return High Rank in Category (%)
YTD -28.3% -91.1% 30.4% 72.58%
1 Yr -17.3% -93.4% 48.8% 51.30%
3 Yr -8.3%* -64.0% 14.9% 54.15%
5 Yr -4.7%* -51.8% 16.2% 44.44%
10 Yr -0.7%* -21.5% 24.7% 71.93%

* Annualized

Return Ranking - Calendar

Period PROCX Return Category Return Low Category Return High Rank in Category (%)
2019 30.9% -52.1% 71.9% 4.07%
2018 -16.2% -43.8% 12.7% 61.74%
2017 2.9% -25.3% 59.5% 62.55%
2016 2.1% -24.5% 42.5% 78.49%
2015 -7.4% -65.1% 11.8% 45.75%

Total Return Ranking - Trailing

Period PROCX Return Category Return Low Category Return High Rank in Category (%)
YTD -29.3% -91.4% 29.5% 72.58%
1 Yr -18.5% -93.5% 47.9% 50.72%
3 Yr -8.7%* -64.4% 15.7% 62.82%
5 Yr -5.0%* -52.1% 18.0% 50.00%
10 Yr -0.9%* -22.0% 25.8% 77.19%

* Annualized

Total Return Ranking - Calendar

Period PROCX Return Category Return Low Category Return High Rank in Category (%)
2019 30.9% -52.1% 71.9% 4.07%
2018 -16.2% -38.4% 12.7% 75.84%
2017 2.9% -25.3% 68.6% 68.36%
2016 2.1% -24.5% 42.5% 82.07%
2015 -7.4% -65.1% 11.8% 58.96%

NAV & Total Return History


Holdings

PROCX - Holdings

Concentration Analysis

PROCX Category Low Category High PROCX % Rank
Net Assets 63.6 M 1.07 M 7.64 B 51.12%
Number of Holdings 8 3 1562 94.20%
Net Assets in Top 10 35.1 M -2.74 M 2.13 B 53.59%
Weighting of Top 10 59.82% 16.0% 238.7% 47.74%

Top 10 Holdings

  1. Invesco QQQ Trust 13.37%
  2. SPDR® Dow Jones Industrial Avrg ETF Tr 13.22%
  3. Vanguard S&P 500 ETF 13.18%
  4. ProShares UltraPro QQQ 6.70%
  5. Direxion Daily S&P500® Bull 3X ETF 6.69%
  6. ProShares UltraPro Dow30 6.66%

Asset Allocation

Weighting Return Low Return High PROCX % Rank
Stocks
84.91% 80.15% 379.21% 94.20%
Cash
15.10% -279.21% 32.48% 7.46%
Preferred Stocks
0.00% 0.00% 10.09% 84.25%
Other
0.00% -60.51% 28.75% 72.65%
Convertible Bonds
0.00% -0.02% 3.65% 83.98%
Bonds
0.00% -81.18% 69.78% 79.56%

Stock Sector Breakdown

Weighting Return Low Return High PROCX % Rank
Technology
27.37% 0.00% 48.83% 6.89%
Healthcare
12.29% 0.00% 100.00% 47.90%
Communication Services
12.17% 0.00% 20.89% 7.49%
Consumer Cyclical
12.16% 0.00% 46.29% 19.46%
Financial Services
12.10% 0.00% 60.67% 47.60%
Industrials
10.65% 0.00% 49.81% 27.54%
Consumer Defense
6.73% 0.00% 54.25% 42.81%
Energy
2.90% 0.00% 100.00% 75.15%
Utilities
1.37% 0.00% 40.07% 62.28%
Basic Materials
1.25% 0.00% 32.95% 58.98%
Real Estate
1.02% 0.00% 99.68% 54.79%

Stock Geographic Breakdown

Weighting Return Low Return High PROCX % Rank
US
83.89% 80.06% 379.21% 87.02%
Non US
1.02% -0.96% 39.88% 51.93%

Expenses

PROCX - Expenses

Operational Fees

PROCX Fees (% of AUM) Category Return Low Category Return High Rank in Category (%)
Expense Ratio 2.95% 0.37% 37.17% 25.36%
Management Fee 1.35% 0.03% 2.64% 93.92%
12b-1 Fee 1.00% 0.00% 1.00% 94.39%
Administrative Fee N/A 0.05% 0.45% 35.63%

Sales Fees

PROCX Fees (% of AUM) Category Return Low Category Return High Rank in Category (%)
Front Load N/A 2.00% 5.75% N/A
Deferred Load N/A 1.00% 5.00% N/A

Trading Fees

PROCX Fees (% of AUM) Category Return Low Category Return High Rank in Category (%)
Max Redemption Fee N/A 1.00% 2.00% N/A

Related Fees

Turnover provides investors a proxy for the trading fees incurred by mutual fund managers who frequently adjust position allocations. Higher turnover means higher trading fees.

PROCX Fees (% of AUM) Category Return Low Category Return High Rank in Category (%)
Turnover N/A 0.00% 5191.00% 99.43%

Distributions

PROCX - Distributions

Dividend Yield Analysis

PROCX Category Low Category High PROCX % Rank
Dividend Yield 0.00% 0.00% 22.70% 86.46%

Dividend Distribution Analysis

PROCX Category Low Category High Category Mod
Dividend Distribution Frequency Annually Annually Quarterly Quarterly

Net Income Ratio Analysis

PROCX Category Low Category High PROCX % Rank
Net Income Ratio -1.11% -3.60% 4.30% 84.35%

Capital Gain Distribution Analysis

PROCX Category Low Category High Capital Mode
Capital Gain Distribution Frequency Annually Annually Quarterly Annually

Dividend Payout History

View More +

Fund Manager Analysis

PROCX - Fund Manager Analysis

Managers

Joseph Childrey


Start Date

Tenure

Tenure Rank

Dec 12, 2013

6.22

6.2%

Joseph B. Childrey, Founder and Chief Investment Officer of Probabilities Fund Management, LLC. Mr. Childrey was a consultant for Stone & Youngberg, LLC, a firm specializing in public finance and fixed income investments, from 2005 to 2006; a Senior Vice President for Wells Fargo Investments from 2000 to 2005; a Senior Vice President and Branch Manager for A.G. Edwards & Sons., Inc. from 1990 to 2000; and an Investment Executive with PaineWebber from 1988 to 1990. Mr. Childrey began managing the predecessor fund, an LP, on Jan 2, 2008. He received a Bachelor of Arts degree from Western Maryland College, with a major in sociology.

Tenure Analysis

Category Low Category High Category Average Category Mode
0.08 41.7 5.8 9.92