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Shauna O'Brien Dec 22, 2014
According to the analyst: “Palo Alto is our top pick for 2015. While shares are up 116% YTD (vs. +12% S&P500), we believe momentum can continue in 2015, driven in part by a shift in security spending toward vendors with comprehensive portfolios. Additionally, we believe the company’s highly differentiated products will enable win rates to remain above 85%, with ramping contributions from Wildfire and Traps. We believe the current valuation underappreciates the sustainability of these advantages and therefore raise our price target to $150 (prev $130) as we roll out to CY16 estimates.”
Regardless of the stock’s run up, investors should realize that its shares are quite pricey, trading at three-times the company’s price-to-earnings growth (PEG). A reasonable PEG would be around 2:1. We understand stocks in their early growth phase can sometimes surpass the most optimistic forecasts, but investors should be aware of a company’s current valuation whenever deploying capital.
|VTSMX||Vanguard Total Stock Mkt Idx||1.34%|
|NAESX||Vanguard Small Cap||1.28%|
Shares of PANW are up 120% YTD.
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