Unleashing the Potential: Fixed Income for Stock-like Returns
Aaron Levitt
|
With bond prices low and yields high, fixed income investments could be very...
Inflation data, which has been a major cause of stress over the last year, declined further. The CPI rose 0.4% month-over-month in April of 2023, matching market expectations. This brought the annual rate of inflation down to 4.9%, lower than previous readings and meeting forecasts. It also showed that the Fed’s path of tightening may be working and that a soft landing could be possible. However, the excitement was short lived as the debt ceiling debate raged on. Lawmakers in Washington haven’t come to agreement and the United States has moved closure to a default on its debt. Credit default swaps on U.S. treasuries rose to their highest point on record. Stocks also gyrated lower. Also helping create extra volatility was the continued unrest in the regional banks. This time, PacWest announced a 9.5% decline in its deposits, increasing selling pressure on the bank’s stock along with other west coast rivals like Western Alliance Bancorp. However, in an interview with Bloomberg News, JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon mentioned that the regional banks are “quite strong", helping to ease some of the selling pressure.
Next week, investors will get plenty of consumer data, with the month-over-month retail sales report being released on Tuesday. Retail sales sank 0.6% in March and 0.7% in February, reversing several months of gains and showing that rising rates are having an effect on consumers. However, analysts now predict that the slowing rate of inflation should help spur forward a 0.7% gain for April. The effect of the Fed’s pace of rate hikes will also be seen on the housing sector next week with the release of the building permits and housing starts report on Wednesday. The amount of permitted construction fell to a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 1.43 million in March, slightly above estimates. Economists predict April’s number to clock in at roughly the same. Meanwhile, the number of houses that have physically started construction is also expected to dip by 1.5% for April. While overall data released will be light this week, investors will get a smattering of speeches from various Federal Reserve Governors including Chairman Powell on Friday. Powell isn’t expected to comment any further than previously indicated stances that more tightening could be on the way. However, any shocks could send stocks falling during the week.
Given this economic backdrop, let us see how this impacts the performance of various investment strategies.
U.S Equity Strategies
In U.S. equities, growth strategies including those focused on large-cap equities outperformed others over the last trailing month. On the other hand, just like last week, small-cap strategies continued to struggle.
Winning
Losing
Dividend Strategies
When it comes to income, international dividend strategies won while high dividend strategies lost over the trailing one month period.
Winning
Losing
U.S. Fixed Income Strategies
In US fixed income, strategies focused on shorting longer duration US treasuries along with some structured credit strategies benefited over the last trailing one month, while long-only strategies focused on longer duration US treasuries continue to lose.
Winning
Losing
Foreign Equity Strategies
Among foreign equity strategies, small cap and Mexican equities came out as the top performing strategies, while Asian equity strategies including those focused on China continued to lose.
Winning
Losing
Foreign Fixed Income Strategies
Among foreign debt, while emerging market local currency based debt strategies continued their winning streak from last week, some high yielding strategies from emerging markets lost.
Winning
Losing
Alternatives
Among alternative strategies, Japanese equity strategies continued to win. On the contrary, broader commodity based strategies were on the losing end.
Winning
Losing
Sectors
Among the various sectors, just like last week, biotech strategies continued to win over the last trailing month. However, regional banking startegies continue to suffer.
Winning
Losing
Here is a summary of different strategies covered in this article:
Receive email updates about best performers, news, CE accredited webcasts and more.
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Inflation data, which has been a major cause of stress over the last year, declined further. The CPI rose 0.4% month-over-month in April of 2023, matching market expectations. This brought the annual rate of inflation down to 4.9%, lower than previous readings and meeting forecasts. It also showed that the Fed’s path of tightening may be working and that a soft landing could be possible. However, the excitement was short lived as the debt ceiling debate raged on. Lawmakers in Washington haven’t come to agreement and the United States has moved closure to a default on its debt. Credit default swaps on U.S. treasuries rose to their highest point on record. Stocks also gyrated lower. Also helping create extra volatility was the continued unrest in the regional banks. This time, PacWest announced a 9.5% decline in its deposits, increasing selling pressure on the bank’s stock along with other west coast rivals like Western Alliance Bancorp. However, in an interview with Bloomberg News, JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon mentioned that the regional banks are “quite strong", helping to ease some of the selling pressure.
Next week, investors will get plenty of consumer data, with the month-over-month retail sales report being released on Tuesday. Retail sales sank 0.6% in March and 0.7% in February, reversing several months of gains and showing that rising rates are having an effect on consumers. However, analysts now predict that the slowing rate of inflation should help spur forward a 0.7% gain for April. The effect of the Fed’s pace of rate hikes will also be seen on the housing sector next week with the release of the building permits and housing starts report on Wednesday. The amount of permitted construction fell to a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 1.43 million in March, slightly above estimates. Economists predict April’s number to clock in at roughly the same. Meanwhile, the number of houses that have physically started construction is also expected to dip by 1.5% for April. While overall data released will be light this week, investors will get a smattering of speeches from various Federal Reserve Governors including Chairman Powell on Friday. Powell isn’t expected to comment any further than previously indicated stances that more tightening could be on the way. However, any shocks could send stocks falling during the week.
Given this economic backdrop, let us see how this impacts the performance of various investment strategies.
U.S Equity Strategies
In U.S. equities, growth strategies including those focused on large-cap equities outperformed others over the last trailing month. On the other hand, just like last week, small-cap strategies continued to struggle.
Winning
Losing
Dividend Strategies
When it comes to income, international dividend strategies won while high dividend strategies lost over the trailing one month period.
Winning
Losing
U.S. Fixed Income Strategies
In US fixed income, strategies focused on shorting longer duration US treasuries along with some structured credit strategies benefited over the last trailing one month, while long-only strategies focused on longer duration US treasuries continue to lose.
Winning
Losing
Foreign Equity Strategies
Among foreign equity strategies, small cap and Mexican equities came out as the top performing strategies, while Asian equity strategies including those focused on China continued to lose.
Winning
Losing
Foreign Fixed Income Strategies
Among foreign debt, while emerging market local currency based debt strategies continued their winning streak from last week, some high yielding strategies from emerging markets lost.
Winning
Losing
Alternatives
Among alternative strategies, Japanese equity strategies continued to win. On the contrary, broader commodity based strategies were on the losing end.
Winning
Losing
Sectors
Among the various sectors, just like last week, biotech strategies continued to win over the last trailing month. However, regional banking startegies continue to suffer.
Winning
Losing
Here is a summary of different strategies covered in this article:
Receive email updates about best performers, news, CE accredited webcasts and more.
Aaron Levitt
|
With bond prices low and yields high, fixed income investments could be very...
Aaron Levitt
|
Fund flows into active ETFs underscore how popular the vehicle is for investors...
Aaron Levitt
|
With their natural inflation protection, high yields and tax-free status, tobacco bonds could...
Mutual Fund Education
Justin Kuepper
|
Let's take a closer look at how ESG investments have outperformed during the...
Mutual Fund Education
Daniel Cross
|
While CITs and mutual funds share many similarities, there are some key differences...
Mutual Fund Education
Sam Bourgi
|
The phrase ‘bear market’ has been thrown around a lot lately, but it...