Secure and Stable: Why Fixed Annuities Are the Perfect Bond Alternative for Retirees
Aaron Levitt
|
With their steady and guaranteed rates of return as well as the ability...
The tech sector provided resiliency with key names like Microsoft and Google reporting better-than-expected numbers. Analysts postulated that the various cost-cutting measures have been working. However, banking industry news made investors nervous as First Republic reported that it saw over $100 billion in consumer deposits leave the bank. This prompted fears and reports that the Fed may take the bank into receivership, overshadowing strong tech earnings and sending stocks lower on the week. Economic data released during the week provided a mixed backdrop. Month-over-month durable goods orders were a bright spot, jumping 3.2%. This beat analysts’ estimates, highlighting the positive impact of the declining inflation rate on the sale of heavy goods. However, the advanced real GDP growth rate painted a sluggish picture, with the economy growing by just 1.1% on an annual basis in Q1. This was less than the 2.6% recorded last quarter and the consensus of 2% among economists. Personal spending and income data was also lower for the month, with data indicating consumers are earning less than expected but are spending more.
Next week, the Fed will be in focus once again with its latest interest rate decision. During March’s FOMC meeting, policy makers observed that inflation was still too high and the labor market too tight. With that backdrop, members remarked that additional tightening of rates may be in order. Current FedWatch tools indicate that the majority of market participants expect that on Wednesday the Fed will raise rates to 5.25%, the highest level since before the Great Recession. In addition to the Fed’s rate decision, there will be plenty of additional data released during the week that will showcase just how much the Fed’s rate tightening is working. On Tuesday, we’ll get to see the latest JOLTS report, which is likely to show a declining trend in the number of available jobs. The metric is expected to fall to 9.7 million in March from 9.9 million reported in February. The official unemployment reading for April is likely to show a slight uptick to 3.6% when it is released on Friday. Also on the docket for next week is the ISM Manufacturing PMI report. The measure of manufacturing activity decreased to 46.3 in March, the lowest since May of 2020, and is expected to hover around a similar level in April when it is released on Monday. Any measure below 50 is considered in contraction. Likewise, the ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI is expected to fall, hovering just above the 50 mark.
Given this economic backdrop, let us see how this impacts the performance of various investment strategies.
US Broad mostly includes funds focused on US equities and can cover different investing styles (growth/value) and market capitalizations (small/mid/large). Fixed Income includes funds focused on debt securities and can cover different geographies (US/foreign) and security types (corporate/municipal/high-yield/investment-grade/government/structured). Alternatives cover funds focused on non-traditional investment strategies (currency, hedge fund strategy, derivatives), leveraged/structured products, real estate, and commodities. Dividend funds focus on generating income via equities and not through debt.
U.S Equity Strategies
In U.S. equities, large cap growth strategies outperformed others over the last one month. On the other hand, small and micro cap strategies lost.
Winning
Losing
Dividend Strategies
Here value focused dividend strategies won while small cap and growth focused dividend strategies lost during the last month.
Winning
Losing
U.S. Fixed Income Strategies
Under U.S. fixed income, longer duration and high yielding strategies won while asset-backed fixed income strategies suffered.
Winning
Losing
Foreign Equity Strategies
Among foreign equity strategies, Swedish and Swiss equities came out as the top performing strategies, while emerging market strategies including those focused on China lost.
Winning
Losing
Foreign Fixed Income Strategies
While emerging market debt strategies performed well, treasury and government bond focused strategies lost.
Winning
Losing
Alternatives
Among alternative strategies, silver and volatility strategies expected to profit from decreases in expected volatility emerged as top performers. On the contrary broader commodity based strategies lost.
Winning
Losing
Sectors
While biotech strategies won over the last month, semiconductor and regional banking strategies pulled back.
Winning
Losing
Here is a summary of different strategies covered in this article:
Receive email updates about best performers, news, CE accredited webcasts and more.
Aaron Levitt
|
With their steady and guaranteed rates of return as well as the ability...
Justin Kuepper
|
We'll look at some of the top crypto ETFs and their varying levels...
Kristan Wojnar, RCC™
|
We are exploring three very different but important topics this week.
Mutual Fund Education
Justin Kuepper
|
Let's take a closer look at how ESG investments have outperformed during the...
Mutual Fund Education
Daniel Cross
|
While CITs and mutual funds share many similarities, there are some key differences...
Mutual Fund Education
Sam Bourgi
|
The phrase ‘bear market’ has been thrown around a lot lately, but it...
The tech sector provided resiliency with key names like Microsoft and Google reporting better-than-expected numbers. Analysts postulated that the various cost-cutting measures have been working. However, banking industry news made investors nervous as First Republic reported that it saw over $100 billion in consumer deposits leave the bank. This prompted fears and reports that the Fed may take the bank into receivership, overshadowing strong tech earnings and sending stocks lower on the week. Economic data released during the week provided a mixed backdrop. Month-over-month durable goods orders were a bright spot, jumping 3.2%. This beat analysts’ estimates, highlighting the positive impact of the declining inflation rate on the sale of heavy goods. However, the advanced real GDP growth rate painted a sluggish picture, with the economy growing by just 1.1% on an annual basis in Q1. This was less than the 2.6% recorded last quarter and the consensus of 2% among economists. Personal spending and income data was also lower for the month, with data indicating consumers are earning less than expected but are spending more.
Next week, the Fed will be in focus once again with its latest interest rate decision. During March’s FOMC meeting, policy makers observed that inflation was still too high and the labor market too tight. With that backdrop, members remarked that additional tightening of rates may be in order. Current FedWatch tools indicate that the majority of market participants expect that on Wednesday the Fed will raise rates to 5.25%, the highest level since before the Great Recession. In addition to the Fed’s rate decision, there will be plenty of additional data released during the week that will showcase just how much the Fed’s rate tightening is working. On Tuesday, we’ll get to see the latest JOLTS report, which is likely to show a declining trend in the number of available jobs. The metric is expected to fall to 9.7 million in March from 9.9 million reported in February. The official unemployment reading for April is likely to show a slight uptick to 3.6% when it is released on Friday. Also on the docket for next week is the ISM Manufacturing PMI report. The measure of manufacturing activity decreased to 46.3 in March, the lowest since May of 2020, and is expected to hover around a similar level in April when it is released on Monday. Any measure below 50 is considered in contraction. Likewise, the ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI is expected to fall, hovering just above the 50 mark.
Given this economic backdrop, let us see how this impacts the performance of various investment strategies.
US Broad mostly includes funds focused on US equities and can cover different investing styles (growth/value) and market capitalizations (small/mid/large). Fixed Income includes funds focused on debt securities and can cover different geographies (US/foreign) and security types (corporate/municipal/high-yield/investment-grade/government/structured). Alternatives cover funds focused on non-traditional investment strategies (currency, hedge fund strategy, derivatives), leveraged/structured products, real estate, and commodities. Dividend funds focus on generating income via equities and not through debt.
U.S Equity Strategies
In U.S. equities, large cap growth strategies outperformed others over the last one month. On the other hand, small and micro cap strategies lost.
Winning
Losing
Dividend Strategies
Here value focused dividend strategies won while small cap and growth focused dividend strategies lost during the last month.
Winning
Losing
U.S. Fixed Income Strategies
Under U.S. fixed income, longer duration and high yielding strategies won while asset-backed fixed income strategies suffered.
Winning
Losing
Foreign Equity Strategies
Among foreign equity strategies, Swedish and Swiss equities came out as the top performing strategies, while emerging market strategies including those focused on China lost.
Winning
Losing
Foreign Fixed Income Strategies
While emerging market debt strategies performed well, treasury and government bond focused strategies lost.
Winning
Losing
Alternatives
Among alternative strategies, silver and volatility strategies expected to profit from decreases in expected volatility emerged as top performers. On the contrary broader commodity based strategies lost.
Winning
Losing
Sectors
While biotech strategies won over the last month, semiconductor and regional banking strategies pulled back.
Winning
Losing
Here is a summary of different strategies covered in this article:
Receive email updates about best performers, news, CE accredited webcasts and more.
Aaron Levitt
|
With their steady and guaranteed rates of return as well as the ability...
Justin Kuepper
|
We'll look at some of the top crypto ETFs and their varying levels...
Kristan Wojnar, RCC™
|
We are exploring three very different but important topics this week.
Mutual Fund Education
Justin Kuepper
|
Let's take a closer look at how ESG investments have outperformed during the...
Mutual Fund Education
Daniel Cross
|
While CITs and mutual funds share many similarities, there are some key differences...
Mutual Fund Education
Sam Bourgi
|
The phrase ‘bear market’ has been thrown around a lot lately, but it...