The Trump Infrastructure Plan
- Addresses a national security or public-safety need.
- Makes the United States more self-reliant.
- Provides jobs for American workers.
- Is already in development and nearing implementation.
The Trump team has assembled a list of roughly 300 projects with around 50 already being evaluated. Freeway repair and mass transit development projects are some of the most common items on the list. The initial outlay for approved projects is expected to be around $150 billion.
How Should Investors Approach It?
- Materials – Companies are going to need a great deal of natural resources in order to build and repair. Steel producers and miners of iron ore and other materials should experience strong, sustainable demand for their products.
- Industrials – These companies produce the goods and services related to construction and manufacturing. Heavy equipment, machinery and tools will all be essential as these projects progress.
- Energy and Utilities – These companies not only produce essential services, they are heavy cash-flow generators and often maintain monopolistic power.
Investors can target funds that focus solely on these specific industries or look to broader infrastructure funds that target specific companies which are best positioned.
In case if you are wondering whether mutual funds are right for you at all, you should read about why mutual funds, in general, should be a part of your portfolio.
The Risks of Infrastructure Investment
- Regulatory risks – Most of these projects go through a lengthy approval process that can cause delays. Even when approved, issues such as production setbacks and legal hassles can impact timelines and revenues.
- Energy costs – Commodity prices can influence not only how much the project will cost, but also for what price the materials produced can be sold. For example, a drop in the price of iron ore can decrease the overall cost of any project, such as the border wall, that requires steel to manufacture, thereby, potentially saving taxpayers’ money.
- Interest rate risks – The utilities sector, in particular, is very interest-rate sensitive, and changes to rates can affect the value of long-term cash flows.
- Currency risk – Most companies impacted by Trump’s infrastructure plan are multi-national. Exchange rate risk can pose problems if a good chunk of revenue is generated from overseas operations.
Infrastructure Mutual Fund Options
The Deutsche Global Infrastructure Fund (TOLLX) owns about 60 names in its portfolio and includes utilities, pipeline operators, toll road operators, owners of ports and other key pieces of the telecommunications market. The Lazard Global Listed Infrastructure Portfolio (GLFOX) is a bit more concentrated and focuses on utilities, pipelines, toll road and airport operators, railroads, ports, telecommunications and other infrastructure companies. Combined, the two funds manage around $8 billion in assets.
The Bottom Line
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